We do the research, you get the alpha!
I just got word that the Trump campaign HQ literally found out they were winning from Polymarket.
History was made today.
Surreal
— Shayne Coplan (@shayne_coplan) November 6, 2024
$84,381.00
0.78%$1,611.84
1.86%$3.63
1.60%$2.14
4.18%$593.00
0.74%$128.41
3.27%$1.00
0.00%$0.163954
0.45%$0.24793
-0.35%$0.643141
1.48%$1,610.48
1.85%$84,352.00
0.73%$9.36
0.02%$19.93
4.25%$12.91
1.04%$2.32
4.42%$0.242799
2.80%$0.00001233
0.27%$0.170972
1.33%$2.91
-0.52%$1.00
0.01%$1,934.45
2.02%$339.07
7.79%$6.28
-1.49%$78.75
3.29%$16.01
1.06%$4.35
-0.78%$1.00
0.03%$0.73985
12.16%$0.999251
0.10%$1,612.34
1.92%$27.67
-0.95%$208.40
0.63%$1,715.90
1.95%$5.39
1.92%$53.82
1.58%$84,304.00
0.36%$0.00000727
2.56%$4.91
1.22%$0.879721
-0.70%$22.61
0.83%$33.62
7.10%$2.17
1.42%$5.11
0.19%$1.047
0.00%$1.00
0.00%$0.088509
-0.28%$0.710271
-0.02%$15.20
-0.07%$254.37
-0.26%$143.29
3.46%$1.16
0.04%$3.95
1.67%$0.0230267
2.49%$0.074806
0.51%$4.24
1.08%$0.326535
3.91%$84,200.00
0.70%$0.998529
-0.05%$4.05
-0.06%$8.51
4.06%$0.190534
3.52%$0.511913
2.76%$2.50
1.01%$0.186129
1.29%$2.56
-0.92%$0.306188
1.69%$3.76
1.53%$84,201.00
0.76%$10.39
-1.69%$0.482298
3.52%$0.078742
4.90%$1,370.11
2.46%$0.687136
2.53%$4.21
8.09%$0.396806
2.56%$134.25
3.75%$0.0000134
6.10%$1.031
-0.33%$0.999259
-0.11%$0.656467
8.41%$67.28
2.50%$1,611.23
1.69%$0.773201
2.83%$0.637041
3.61%$0.01532508
1.67%$1,676.90
2.01%$0.177325
4.25%$14.95
0.08%$0.851134
-5.60%$1.00
0.00%$0.999344
-0.05%$0.999732
0.01%$0.611043
-0.70%$0.327729
-1.36%$8.21
-0.88%$3,239.02
-0.68%$0.01618899
13.35%$1,817.12
1.93%$0.081068
1.18%$0.428966
1.42%$83,608.00
0.93%$593.12
0.78%$0.743267
2.36%$3,250.38
-1.10%$0.997834
-0.03%$84,213.00
0.69%$3.75
25.27%$0.738467
-0.08%$0.0147861
1.66%$0.01953645
-2.62%$0.263312
0.96%$0.00000065
5.42%$1,713.41
1.58%$0.999559
0.03%$0.166149
2.24%$141.08
3.18%$0.10307
0.49%$0.481696
0.66%$164.81
3.08%$1.96
-0.97%$28.63
0.39%$0.356142
0.99%$0.00005783
4.33%$1.92
5.74%$34.64
-2.60%$1.75
-0.56%$0.532267
-0.91%$3.35
2.32%$0.999913
0.02%$0.516799
-3.26%$0.542166
6.57%$1,682.65
1.89%$0.264921
6.53%$0.996464
-0.05%$0.13459
2.06%$14.55
1.56%$82,956.00
3.39%$1.00
0.00%$0.068695
-0.46%$0.425736
0.75%$1.66
1.31%$1.00
0.00%$0.456313
7.09%$4.09
-2.83%$0.00481021
-0.87%$1.11
0.72%$0.569911
1.45%$0.00761998
0.50%$84,376.00
0.91%$84,842.00
1.51%$0.163907
0.53%$0.00000042
0.19%$1.16
3.14%$1.08
0.01%$0.999111
-0.26%$1.93
8.04%$14.34
1.48%$0.0000198
1.62%$110.66
0.00%$1,712.18
1.19%$0.999376
-0.04%$5.39
0.00%$2.37
4.09%$84,035.00
0.58%$0.130715
-0.77%$0.579841
1.80%$0.03939789
1.66%$1.00
-0.03%$0.072799
2.44%$22.54
-0.07%$41.17
1.98%$5.61
0.42%$0.450053
4.83%$77,106.00
0.00%$0.999902
-0.43%$1,610.45
1.73%$1,612.64
1.93%$0.434574
1.78%$0.076583
0.92%$0.00542217
9.78%$0.548769
1.70%$0.128795
6.82%$1,610.19
1.78%$0.287987
20.97%$1,682.15
1.83%$0.190548
3.39%$0.788937
1.78%$0.00005996
2.31%$0.00618934
-1.22%$1.002
0.08%$4.05
-4.98%$0.999592
-0.00%$0.00376508
1.43%$0.756873
7.04%$0.00000154
-2.92%$0.156711
-1.28%$0.03070906
1.00%$0.321472
1.14%$0.131929
-20.42%$0.999784
0.05%$0.999613
0.04%$1,611.87
2.00%$0.140848
0.05%$0.02928003
-0.96%$1,625.36
1.68%$108.85
4.45%$2.54
-1.95%$1.13
-0.79%$3,235.93
0.03%$0.602006
2.33%$84,243.00
0.75%$0.218659
1.32%$83,998.00
-0.75%$0.266521
7.35%$0.571062
3.91%$1,594.48
2.05%$2.70
-0.04%$0.255112
5.11%$0.448863
-4.14%$20.80
0.26%$0.02909524
-0.05%$1.00
0.00%$0.490259
-0.15%$22.26
1.35%$1,610.09
1.23%$0.174456
1.36%$1.01
1.70%$1,702.88
1.95%$19.93
4.39%$0.0003924
-2.61%$0.03351509
-0.22%$1,693.22
0.59%$0.099599
0.92%$13.71
1.53%$0.998464
0.02%$0.01121397
1.98%$0.646305
-0.77%$1,762.49
1.78%$0.00470069
11.65%$2.05
6.08%$0.00243298
-5.43%$84,491.00
1.23%$12.70
-3.60%$1,749.65
1.60%$0.999561
-0.02%$0.00282685
6.12%$2.65
-5.03%Reading
After climbing to a new all-time high earlier this morning, the Bitcoin price has retraced only slightly after U.S. media outlets have decisively called the 2024 presidential election for Republic Donald Trump.
At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is sitting just below $74,000 after peaking at a new all-time high of $75,358.70 very early this morning, according to CoinGecko data.
And there's reason to believe that Bitcoin's big year—spot ETF approvals, the fourth halving, and now Trump's victory—could set BTC up for a very strong start to 2025, according to Samir Kerbage, CIO at crypto asset manager Hashdex.
"In the six months that followed the last three presidential elections, Bitcoin has had triple digit returns, and even larger returns over the 12-month period," he said in a note shared with Decrypt. "This history, along with the strong outperformance that typically follows Bitcoin’s halving, ongoing institutional adoption, and the improving regulatory outlook in the US, has set this asset class up for a very strong 2025."
But not all analysts are convinced that Trump is going to deliver on the many promises he's made to secure support from the crypto industry.
"Over the last few months, Trump has pledged to make Bitcoin a reserve currency, fire Gary Gensler, push through crypto-friendly regulation, and more. But if he doesn’t deliver on these promises quickly, the euphoria could turn to disappointment, which has the potential to result in crypto market volatility," wrote Tim Kravchunovsky, founder and CEO of the decentralized telecommunications network Chirp, in a note sent to Decrypt. "We have to be prepared for this because the reality is that crypto isn’t the most important issue on Trump’s current agenda."
He's not the first analyst to flag that Trump may not be entirely serious about putting crypto at the forefront of his policies during his second term. Earlier this week, investment research firm Bernstein shared a prediction that even though Bitcoin might have initially dropped with a Harris win that it would have still been well positioned for a strong 2025.
The price of Bitcoin will still go up substantially in the next year, whoever wins the U.S. election, according to Bernstein analysts. But it may experience some shock at first. That’s per a new report by analysts at the global investment firm. Analysts Gautam Chhugani, Mahika Sapra, and Sanskar Chindalia said in a Monday report that the price of Bitcoin could hit a new all-time high in the range of $80,000 to $90,000 in the next few weeks, were Trump to win. And a win by his Democrat counterpar...
Meanwhile, on crypto betting platform Polymarket, the main betting pool for who would win the U.S. presidential election has already been resolved.
Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan wasted no time celebrating the triumph of prediction markets over more traditional polls, which right up until the election were forecasting a close race while Polymarket showed Trump widen his lead.
I just got word that the Trump campaign HQ literally found out they were winning from Polymarket.
History was made today.
Surreal
— Shayne Coplan (@shayne_coplan) November 6, 2024
“Trust the markets, not the polls,” Coplan wrote on Twitter. “I just got word that the Trump campaign HQ literally found out they were winning from Polymarket. History was made today,” he said in another post.
Coinbase has now overtaken two of the world's largest securities exchanges in terms of transaction revenue, according to a crypto analyst from the private bank Coutts. The crypto exchange generated $5.75 billion in transaction revenue over the past 12 months, compared to just $4.54 billion for the Nasdaq, where many of the world’s most valuable companies, including Apple, Google, and Microsoft, are traded. Coinbase also surpassed the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong, the HKEX, which generated $2.67 b...
After several extended reviews since June this year, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has finally approved the first spot exchange-traded funds combining Bitcoin and Ethereum. The agency has authorized Nasdaq to list the Hashdex Nasdaq Crypto Index US ETF and the Cboe BZX Exchange to list the Franklin Crypto Index ETF, according to a filing released Thursday. "The proportion of bitcoin and ether to be held by each Trust will be based on free-float market capitalizations," the filing...
Dogecoin (DOGE) fell 12.4% in the past 24 hours as a broader market decline continues, triggered by the Federal Reserve's latest economic outlook. The meme coin has dropped to $0.31, while trading volume surged 67% to $10.25 billion as holders repositioned their bags. It's now down 35% from its 2024 high of $0.47. Despite the pullback, Dogecoin's market capitalization remains at $46.6 billion, maintaining its position as the seventh-largest crypto. Powell's hawkish comments about higher-than-exp...